Congressman Allen Boyd’s seat is not likely to go Republican without more effort.
Congressman Boyd is in a fairly safe district for Democrats. It has a major metropolitan area that voted overwhelmingly for President Obama during the Presidential elections in 2008.
There is some speculation on how many seats are likely to turn Republican in the upcoming election cycle. Nearly 44 seats could turn Republican according to The Rothenberg Report.
Substantial Republican gains are inevitable, with net Democratic losses now looking to be at least two dozen. At this point, GOP gains of 25-30 seats seem likely, though considerably larger gains in excess of 40 seats certainly seem possible.
We’ve moved 44 seats toward the Republicans and only 4 toward the Democrats.
While I do think that we have a long way to go to get rid of Congressman Allen Boyd, we can make it happen. We have a couple of Republican contenders who are raising money feverishly and need even more to compete with Congressman Boyd’s considerable war chest.
But at this moment, we have a long way to go to move Boyd from a safe Democrat seat to a Republican seat.
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